Weighted analysis of Bitcoin price prediction models
| Model | Historical Accuracy | Last Cycle Accuracy | Quality of Data | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Powerlaw Oscillator | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.75 | 5.55 |
| Powerlaw Spiral | 1.60 | 1.05 | 1.75 | 4.40 |
| Dave LGC | 2.80 | 2.10 | 2.50 | 7.40 |
| Dave MACD Trend | 3.60 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 8.55 |
| Tech Dev BTC Meter | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 5.00 |
| Tech Dev Liq Biz Cycle | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 6.25 |
| Real Vision Composite Model | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 5.50 |
| Pi Cycle Top | 2.80 | 3.15 | 2.50 | 8.45 |
| CryptoCon Cycle Theory | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 8.15 |
| DECODE Macro Trend Oscillator | 3.60 | 2.80 | 0.50 | 6.90 |
| Weighting | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Consistency | False Positives | Lead Time | False Negatives | Strength | Specificity | Ease of Use | Weighted Score |
| Powerlaw Oscillator | 4.00 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 7.80 |
| Powerlaw Spiral | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 6.40 |
| Powerlaw mLGC | 4.00 | 1.50 | 1.35 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 8.49 |
| Dave LGC | 3.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 8.00 |
| Dave MACD Trend | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.35 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 9.09 |
| Tech Dev BTC Meter | 3.50 | 1.50 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 6.95 |
| Tech Dev Liq Biz Cycle | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 5.13 |
| Real Vision Composite Model | 4.00 | 1.20 | 1.05 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 8.05 |
| Pi Cycle Top | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 9.30 |
| CryptoCon Cycle Theory | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 9.50 |
| DECODE Macro Trend Oscillator | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.35 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 9.17 |
LGC, Pi Cycle Top, LMACD analysis
Oscillator and Spiral predictions
M2 Liquidity and economic indicators
Advanced weighted model analysis combining all prediction frameworks to provide comprehensive Bitcoin cycle insights and price targets.